Saturday, March 7, 2009

Where Have All the Agents Gone?

If Pete Seeger were to write his song, "Where Have All the Flowers Gone" today, it might be focused on the changing real estate climate and the economy. I've noticed that there are a lot less real estate agents in the business these days, and many of them have had to look for new jobs, instead, due to the sluggish market.

Quite a few of these agents are the same ones who jumped into real estate during the last few years when they thought this was easy money, with little more invested in their business than a few weeks of real estate classes. Instead of getting rich quick, some of these "newbies" helped perpetuate the escalating prices, often willing to list properties at any amount just to beat out the competition for the listing. And many sellers chose those inflated numbers over realistic pricing and the experience of more seasoned agents...in hopes of hitting the jackpot.

Soon, neighbors also wanted a piece of the action and put their homes on the market at prices even higher - justifying those values with the rationale that their property was much better than the one down the street for sale at 25% over value. It became a crazy time, where pricing was set by prices on properties for sale, rather than by properties that had actually sold. Although, there were still enough buyers in the market so that a property here and there would actually sell at those false prices, and lenders could find enough comparables to support loaning money on them.

But because a lot of these newer agents didn't have as much to lose, they could jump out of the business just about as easily as they jumped into it. And many did.

And now, due to an increasing array of factors, many of the experienced agents - with vast knowledge of home values and strong representation abilities - are also having to look for other jobs to survive the slowdown. Because of this, there will almost definitely be some dramatic changes in the industry going forward, and other concepts may emerge.

Sellers will still sell, and buyers will still buy, but many of the agents who put all of their effort and expertise into helping these two types of clients - with no upfront fees - may have a harder time committing those long hours of playing tour guide without some assurances of income. Besides that, some will have to juggle their time with other employment, and will not be available on the 24/7 schedules that they have advertised in the past. So we'll have to see where this all shakes out.

But those other jobs are getting hard to come by, as we see on the news every day. And it's not just the agents who want them; everyone seems to be looking! So Pete's song may now go something like this:

Where have all the agents gone, long time selling.
Where have all the agents gone, who sold those homes.
Where have all the agents gone, gone to good jobs...every one.
Oh when will they ever learn, oh when will they ever learn?

Where have all the good jobs gone, long time supporting.
Where have all the good jobs gone, that paid the bills.
Where have all the good jobs gone, employers cut them...every one.
Oh when will they ever learn, oh when will they ever learn?

Where have the employers gone, long time hiring.
Where have the employers gone, who we counted on.
Where have the employers gone, the banks have closed them...every one.
Oh when will they ever learn, oh when will they ever learn?

Where have all the bankers gone, long time lending.
Where have all the bankers gone, who financed homes.
Where have all the bankers gone, to get a bailout...everyone.
Oh when will we ever learn, oh when will we ever learn.

5 comments:

rusty wrycza said...

and here I was hoping somebody would re-write KodaChrome for the digital age... nice job (on the song)!
Mark-To-Market could improve things; we can only hope

Anonymous said...

Funny blog this week Dan. Maybe your other job could be a song writer. Just kidding! Very true words though, I am seeing that all over especially in Western WI. I think the people who remain agents are the ones committed to providing more responsive and professional service to buyers and sellers than the casual agents who did this as a side job.

Chris

Anonymous said...

Don’t be so quick to lay any of the blame on New Agents, While you rode the inflation train and still got your 6% for doing the exact same thing year after year. There is a lot of blame to go around and to pin it on new agents; Inflating "possible" sale price to get a listing is less than minute to the rest of the greed that occurred. Thanks for throwing fellow agents under the bus.

So much for free speech, I see the disclosure do expect this to get to far. Thanks

New Agent 3/3/07
After the crash

Anonymous said...

That's the easy way out to blame new agents, good sales pitch though for you well seasoned agents. I found a lot of the agents that have been around for some time, mad that the gravy train had stopped and that they had to now provide a service, rather than an order taker.
People saw an industry that seemed to be strong and secure so trained for that industry. You can't blame someone for trying to improve their lives....

Anonymous said...

It's good to see that there are strong opinions out there. I've always enjoyed stirring up a little controversy, because I think it is healthy to do so.
Don't get me wrong on the new agent thing; I was a new agent once myself and I made a 100 cold calls every day for months to get going in this business. Sandy and I also spent up to $50,000 per year in marketing to build our business when we were agents with Edina Realty, long before we had to spend much more than that running a brokerage. Those commitments also helped us get to the top 1% of agents in the country in sales production back when we were actively selling full time. Any agent that puts the effort in through marketing, training, creativity or any activity that makes them a better real estate professional, should be commended and will become successful, even in a bad market. The agents - both new and otherwise - that don't put in that effort, are the ones I was referring to and have left the business because they don't even want to pay their yearly dues. There never was a gravy train in this business as far as I am concerned, and I don't think there ever will be.

Dan Anderson