This Year's Market

Last night I had a request for information on how the lakeshore market turned out this year. Of course, it isn't over yet, but generally we would start seeing a reduction in sales about now.

The odd thing this year is that we've had an increase in sales all of a sudden. I remember a market like this in 2001, where not much sold throughout the summer, only to have a real influx of sales in the fall. I don't really remember what waterfront real estate prices were like overall that year (they certainly were cheaper than what they are now), but what probably happened is similar to what has gone on this year.

In a normal market, the buyers start to emerge in early spring and get excited about the thought of having a new lake place. Time is of the essence, because summer is short and most people aren't very good about delayed gratification. So they buy fairly quickly, understanding that more properties might be coming on the market - but the loss of not having it to use is greater than the gain of maybe finding the perfect one sometime.

It's no secret that the last couple of years has been tough on the real estate industry overall. The uneasy feeling in the economy, combined with the difficulty in getting loans, the high price of gas, and the run-up of real estate prices a few years ago, made a lot of people step back and think a bit before jumping into any more things they don't absolutely need.

I'm going to try harder to answer this question in another month or so, but what I kind of see happening now is that we have bottomed out (for some time now), and we are just waiting for a little bounce. That bounce may come from investors who understand that prices for lake homes and cabins are very low in relation to other goods, or it may come from the ever-expanding base of Baby Boomers who decide it's time to make a move.

Either way, most agents around the country tell me that their sales have picked up over the last month - and we are seeing that too.